Closing Costs – The Real Numbers You Need to Budget For.

Buying a home is one of the most exciting ventures in life! To ensure it goes smoothly, you need to have a proper budget in place to protect your financial security and help you make the best decision for your future location. However, the cost of the home is not the only cost that you need to budget for! The temptation will always be to start looking at the very top of your budget but fees, such as mandatory closing costs, can easily put you over the top. Knowing the real numbers will make it that much easier to stay within your budget and maintain your financial comfort.

Closing costs are a one-time fee associated with the sale of a home and are separate from the mortgage insurance and down payment. Typically, these costs range from 1.5-4% of the purchase price, depending on your location. This means, for an $800,000 home, you would be looking to budget around $22,000 on average.

Here are a few closing costs to keep an eye out for:

• Land Transfer Tax: This is calculated as a percentage of the purchase price of your home, with the amount varying in each province. Some cities, such as Toronto, also have a municipal LTT.
• Legal Fees and Disbursements: You can expect to incur a minimum of $500 (plus GST/HST) on legal fees for the preparation and recording of official documents around your purchase.
• Title Insurance: Most lenders require title insurance to protect against losses in the event of a property ownership dispute. This is purchased through your lawyer/notary and is typically $300 or more.
• PST on CMHC Insurance: Though CMHC insurance itself is financed through the mortgage, PST on the insurance is typically paid at the lawyers and sometimes deducted from your advance.
• Home Inspection Fee: A home inspection is highly recommended as a condition of your Offer to Purchase to prevent any future surprises. This can cost around $500.
• Appraisal Fee: An appraisal is performed to certify the lender of the resale value of the home in the case you default on the mortgage. The cost is usually $400 – $600 but is typically covered by the lender.
• Property Insurance: Property insurance covers the cost of replacing your home and its contents, and must be in place on closing day. This is paid in monthly or annual premiums.
• Prepaid Utility Bills: You may need to reimburse the previous owner of your property for prepaid costs such as property taxes, utilities, and so forth.
• Property Taxes: Property taxes are due on an annual basis and are calculated as a percentage of the home value and vary by municipality. You also may need to reimburse the previous property owner if he/she has already paid property taxes for the full year.

Knowledge is power and understanding the hidden costs associated with purchasing a home can help you create a realistic budget and ensure you remain within your financial means.

What the Bank of Canada Rate Drops Mean for YOU!.

With the Bank of Canada rate decreases throughout the summer and into September, I thought this would be a great opportunity to update you on what this means for your mortgage.

If you’re on a variable-rate mortgage, this will result in a slight decrease in your mortgage payments to match the current rates giving you more cash flow each month!

For example, if your mortgage balance is $750,000 at the previous 5.95% interest rate your approx. compounded monthly payment was likely $4,809. With the new rate of 5.45% your approx. compounded monthly payment on an adjustable-rate mortgage will be $4,583*. This is an estimated $226/m decrease ($30/m per 100k balance) on your payment.

*Rates based on example of Prime minus .50% (old prime 6.45 and new prime 5.95)

For those of you who are on fixed-rate mortgages* or have renewals coming up, this reduction in interest rates could make it easier on you at renewal time. The decrease in interest rates gives you more borrowing power in the market – this means your money can go further!

*Remember, the drop in the Bank of Canada fixed rates may not result in the same drop for fixed mortgages as with variable rates. The decrease in interest rates will however open up new variable options and, depending on your lender may still provide allow you to take advantage of lowered rates.

This is the same for first-time buyers! Lower interest rates mean you now have more borrowing power in the marketplace, which could help you find that perfect home by allowing you to allocate monthly funds to your mortgage more comfortably.

In more good news, The Bank of Canada has two more decision dates this year in October and December. Experts anticipate the Bank of Canada will continue these quarter-point rate cuts, taking the overnight rate down to 4.0% at year-end and potentially down to 2.75% next year.

Whether you’re a current homeowner, looking to renew, or wanting to purchase, this is exciting news for Canadians across the country!

However, keep in mind rate is not the be-all-end-all of mortgages. It is important to keep in mind that factors such as type of mortgage, down payment amount, payment schedule, amortization, and more will also affect your mortgage and affordability.

If you want more information about your specific mortgage and how this affects your situation, please don’t hesitate to reach out to me!

The Benefit of Rate Holds.

Being on the path to purchasing your first home is one of the most exciting and most rewarding moments in life!

To help make the mortgage process smoother, one of the things you can do is to get pre-approved for your mortgage. Getting pre-approved doesn’t commit you to a single lender, but it does guarantee the rate offered to you will be locked in from 90 to 120 days which helps if interest rates rise while you are still shopping!

Rate holds for mortgages offer several benefits including:

1. Protection Against Rate Increases: A rate hold guarantees that you will receive a specified interest rate for a set period, typically up to 120 days. This protects you from potential rate hikes during this period. Plus, if the rate should drop, you can still take advantage of the lower option!
2. Financial Planning: Knowing the exact rate you will pay allows for better financial planning and budgeting. It provides clarity regarding what you can expect for your monthly mortgage payments. This makes it easier to target the right price range of home so that you can ensure future financial stability.
3. Time for Decision Making: A rate hold provides peace of mind allowing you the necessary time to shop around for the right home. During this time, you can also compare different mortgage options without the pressure of changing interest rates. This is particularly useful when you’re considering different lenders or mortgage products.
4. Stress Reduction: It reduces the stress of rate fluctuations and uncertainties in the housing market. After the past few years of turmoil, knowing that you have a secured mortgage rate can take a lot of the pressure off shopping. Instead of feeling like you need to find a new home before the rates change again, you can take the appropriate time. Plus, if your rate hold expires, it is easy to submit for a new one!
5. Securing a Competitive Rate: While we are not anticipating interest rate increases in the coming years, securing a rate hold while you shop can save you money over the long term by locking in a favorable interest rate should anything pivotal happen in the market.

Overall, rate holds provide peace of mind, financial security, and the opportunity to make informed decisions when entering into a mortgage agreement. They are particularly valuable in fluctuating interest rate environments or when you anticipate delays in finalizing a mortgage transaction. Looking to purchase a home? Want more information on rate holds and the mortgage process?

Refinancing Your Mortgage in 2025.

Refinancing your mortgage can be a smart financial move for many reasons, and as your trusted mortgage advisor, I’ve seen how much it can benefit homeowners!

Ideally, refinancing is done at the end of your mortgage term to avoid penalties, but the timing can vary depending on your goals. For some, it’s about unlocking the equity in their home to fund renovations or cover big expenses like college tuition. For others, it’s an opportunity to consolidate debt, lower their interest rate, or change up their mortgage product.

Let’s take a closer look at some of the ways refinancing your mortgage can help!

• Get a Better Rate: As interest rates have continued to decrease with the Bank of Canada updates these past few months, now is a great time to consider refinancing for a better rate and lower overall mortgage payments!  Experts anticipate the Bank of Canada will move to have the overnight rate down to 4.0% at year-end and potentially down to 2.75% for 2025.
• Consolidate Debt: When it comes to renewal season and considering a refinance, this is a great time to review your existing debt and determine whether or not you want to consolidate it onto your mortgage. In most cases, the interest rate on your mortgage is less than you would be charged with credit card companies or other forms of financing you may have. Plus, having all your debt consolidated into a single payment can keep you on track!
• Unlock Your Home Equity: Do you have projects around the house you’ve been dying to get started on? Need funds for a large purchase such as a new vehicle or post-secondary education? When you are looking to renew your mortgage, it is a great opportunity to consider refinancing in order to take advantage of the home equity you have built up to help with these larger changes in your life!
• Change Your Mortgage Product: Are you unhappy with your existing mortgage product? If you have a variable-rate or adjustable-rate mortgage, you may be considering locking it in at the lower rates. Alternatively, you may want to switch your current fixed-rate mortgage to a variable option with the interest rates expected to continue decreasing into 2025. You can also utilize your refinance to take advantage of a different payment or amortization schedule to help pay off your mortgage faster!

PLUS! Some latest changes by the Government of Canada will make it even easier for you when it comes to your renewal and refinancing options:

• Those of you who may have an uninsured mortgage will no longer have to pass the stress test as of November 21st. This means that you have more flexibility when it comes to rates and mortgage products in renewal cases where you wish to switch lenders without adding additional funds to your mortgage!
• Beginning January 15, the federal government will allow default-insured mortgages to be refinanced to build a secondary suite. If you’ve been considering adding a suite to your property, you may be eligible to access up to 90% of your home’s equity for this purpose.

No matter your plans or situation, please don’t hesitate to reach out to me!

Written by my DLC Marketing Team

Trump did it–the trade war started at midnight. Stocks and currencies are falling, but so are interest rates.

Trump Did It–Trade War Starts Today

Trump has imposed tariffs of 25% on goods coming from Mexico and Canada, 10% on Canadian energy, and an additional  10% on goods from China. He justified these actions by claiming they would force Mexico and Canada to address issues related to undocumented migration and drug trafficking. However, while precursor chemicals for fentanyl come from China and undocumented migrants enter through the southern border with Mexico, Canada accounts for only about 1% of both issues.

The Wall Street Journal, typically considered a conservative publication, criticized Trump, labelling this as the “dumbest trade war in history.” The Journal stated, “Mr. Trump sometimes sounds as if the US shouldn’t import anything at all, that America can be a perfectly closed economy making everything at home. This is called autarky, and it isn’t the world we live in or one that we should want to live in, as Mr. Trump may soon find out.”

This misguided tariff policy will cause untold damage to the global economy, including the US. Americans will suffer the impact of higher prices and shortages of key products imported from Canada and Mexico. The various North American free trade agreements aimed to improve manufacturing efficiencies and meld the three economies to maximize productivity and the free flow of essential inputs into production. Canada is the number one supplier of steel and aluminum and there are no readily available substitutes for these crucial inputs. A plethora of products and construction activity use steel and aluminum. Aluminum is produced in Quebec where hydroelectricity is plentiful and cheap. US farmers depend on Canadian potash and auto parts, and Canada is the number one exporter of oil and gas to the US.

Consider the US auto industry, which operates as a North American entity due to the highly integrated supply chains across the three countries. In 2024, Canada supplied nearly 13% of US auto parts imports, while Mexico accounted for almost 42%. Industry experts note that a vehicle produced on the continent typically crosses borders multiple times as companies source components and add value most cost-effectively.

This integration benefits everyone involved. According to the Office of the US Trade Representative, the industry contributed more than $809 billion to the US economy in 2023, representing about 11.2% of total US manufacturing output and supporting 9.7 million direct and indirect US jobs. In 2022, the US exported $75.4 billion in vehicles and parts to Canada and Mexico. According to the American Automotive Policy Council, this figure rose 14% in 2023, reaching $86.2 billion.

Without this trade, American car makers would struggle to compete. Regional integration has become an industry-wide manufacturing strategy in Japan, Korea, and Europe. It leverages high-skilled and low-cost labour markets to source components, software, and assembly.

As a result, US industrial capacity in automobiles has grown alongside an increase in imported motor vehicles, engines, and parts. From 1995 to 2019, imports of these items rose by 169%, while US industrial capacity in the same categories increased by 71%. Thousands of well-paying auto jobs in states like Texas, Ohio, Illinois, and Michigan owe their competitiveness to this ecosystem, which relies heavily on suppliers in Mexico and Canada.

Tariffs will also cause mayhem in the cross-border trade of farm goods. In fiscal 2024, Mexican food exports comprised about 23% of US agricultural imports, while Canada supplied some 20%. Many top US growers have moved to Mexico because limits on legal immigration have made it hard to find workers in the US. Mexico now supplies 90% of avocados sold in the US.

Yesterday, the President’s tariff announcement led to an immediate sell-off in stock markets worldwide. Bonds, seen as a safer haven, rallied sharply, taking longer-term interest rates down sharply in anticipation of a meaningful slowdown in economic activity. The Canadian dollar sold off sharply, though it clawed back some of its losses overnight. WTI oil prices dropped 2% yesterday and continued to decline today.

Bottom Line
This is a lose-lose situation and President Trump underestimates the negative fallout of his actions at home and abroad. Retaliation will be swift. Americans will balk at the disruption of supply chains (think waiting for months for a new car) and the increase in the price of many products.

Legendary investor, Warren Buffet, called the tariffs an “act of war.”

Before the tariffs were imposed, we expected roughly 2% growth this year. Assuming the tariffs remain in place for a year, the Canadian economy will plunge into recession. We will likely see a few quarters of negative growth before growth gradually resumes.

Despite the inflation risk, the Bank of Canada will respond aggressively to minimize the meltdown in labour markets and the economy in general. When the Governing Council meets again on March 12, we expect another 25 bps cut in the overnight policy rate, bringing it down to 2.75%. Over the next year, we expect the Bank to continue to ease credit conditions, and a 2.0% overnight rate is likely.

The Canadian 5-year yield, a bellwether for setting fixed mortgage rates, has fallen to 2.51%, its lowest level in nearly three years. Lower interest rates are favorable for housing markets, although the inevitable rise in unemployment and drop in spending will mitigate this effect.

Written by Dr. Sherry Cooper, DLC Chief Economist